Round 37 permutations
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What can happen in Round 37?

Publish on 11/05/2021 at 20:42 - I. HOLYMAN

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Lille could claim the title, Paris Saint-Germain can keep their hopes alive and secure UEFA Champions League football for next season, Monaco and Lyon will hope to maintain their ambitions, and the relegation battle could be decided — Round 37 of the Ligue 1 Uber Eats season is likely to provoke tears of joy and despair around France.

THE TITLE & PODIUM RACE

It's Lille's to lose. PSG's Round 36 draw at Rennes and Lille's win over Lens means Christophe Galtier's side have a three-point lead at the top of the table with just six points left to play for this term. Five points back, Monaco are not mathematically out of it either, but the principality side are very much the outsiders. 

 

Lyon — six points adrift in fourth — could theoretically still be champions too if all three teams ahead of them were to lose their two remaining games and there is a five-goal swing in Lyon's favour over Lille. OL currently are four goals worse off in terms of goal difference compared to Lille (+36 to +40). If teams finish level on goal difference this season, then the teams' head-to-head record comes into play: Lille drew 1-1 at home to Lyon, but beat OL 3-2 away meaning Les Dogues would still take the title.

 

EUROPEAN QUALIFICATION

The top two go directly into next season's UEFA Champions League group stage. The third-placed finisher could join them depending on results in other countries — as Rennes did for the 2020/21 campaign — but normally will need to negotiate the third premlinary round and a play-off to reach the group stage. The fourth-placed team goes into the UEFA Europa League.

 

REMAINING FIXTURES

Round 37: Lille - Saint-Etienne, PSG - Reims, Monaco - Rennes, Nîmes - Lyon

Round 38: Angers - Lille, Brest - PSG, Lens - Monaco, Lyon - Nice

 

ROUND 37 PERMUTATIONS

- Lille (79 points) will be champions if they win and PSG (76) don't.

- Lille will be champions if they draw, PSG lose and Monaco (74) don't win.

- PSG will be sure to finish in the top two if they win, and Monaco and Lyon (73) don't win.

- PSG will be certain to finish in the top three if they draw and Lyon lose.

- Monaco will be assured of a podium place if they win and Lyon lose.

- Lyon are out of the title running unless they win and all the other three teams lose.

 

 

RACE FOR FIFTH

Marseille, Lens and Rennes head into the final two matches of the season separated by just a point. OM (56 points) lead Lens on goal difference — +6 to +4 — while Rennes are a point back, but enjoy a superior goal difference to both (+11).

 

EUROPEAN QUALIFICATION

The team that ends the season in fifth will qualify for the new UEFA Europa Conference League.

 

REMAINING FIXTURES

Round 37: Marseille - Angers, Monaco - Rennes, Bordeaux - Lens

Round 38: Lens - Monaco, Rennes - Nîmes, Metz - Marseille

 

ROUND 37 PERMUTATIONS

- Rennes will be out of contention if they lose and Marseille and Lens both win.

 

WATCH: Burak Yilmaz dominates derby to take Lille closer to title

 

 

THE RELEGATION BATTLE

Six teams are still in danger of joining Dijon in Ligue 2 with just five points between second-from-bottom Nîmes (35 points) and Brest (40) in 14th. Reims (42) in 13th are five points clear of third-from-bottom Nantes (37), and so still run the risk — albeit a small one given their -3 goal difference is much better than the teams around them — of being sucked into the relegation/promotion play-off.

 

REMAINING FIXTURES

Round 37: Nice - Strasbourg, Nîmes - Lyon, Lorient - Metz, PSG - Reims, Bordeaux - Lens, Dijon - Nantes, Montpellier - Brest

Round 38: Rennes - Nîmes, Brest - PSG, Reims - Bordeaux, Strasbourg - Lorient, Nantes - Montpellier

 

ROUND 37 PERMUTATIONS

- Nîmes (35 points) will be relegated in Round 37 if they lose at home to Lyon, Nantes (37) win and Lorient (38) and Strasbourg (38) don't lose.

- Given Nîmes goal difference is -26 and Nantes' is -11, if Pascal Planque's men lose and Les Canaris get a point at Dijon, Les Crocodiles would be all but mathematically relegated.

- If Nîmes draw, Brest will be certain of not finishing in the bottom two regardless of their result at Montpellier.

>> OPINION: Why Neymar's new deal could lead to continental domination for PSG

 

>> PODCAST: Le Beau Jeu, the official Ligue 1 Uber Eats podcast in English

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