Lille, PSG, Monaco, Lyon
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Who can win the title? Who qualifies for Europe?

Publish on 18/05/2021 at 16:53 - I. HOLYMAN

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Lille, Paris Saint-Germain and Monaco can all win the 2020/21 Ligue 1 Uber Eats title with just 90 minutes of the season remaining, Lyon are hoping to squeeze into the top three and qualify for next season's UEFA Champions League, and Marseille, Lens and Rennes will battle it out for the other European places — ligue1.com breaks down the permutations for the thrilling finale to the campaign at the top end of the table.

Not since 2001/02 have the top two been separated by a single point ahead of the final day of a L1 season as Lille (80 points, goal difference +40) and PSG (79, +56) are now with Monaco (77, +34) in third, three points off top spot. 

 

Lyon (76, +39) cannot win the title as they are four points behind Lille, but they are three points behind PSG, and so — theoretically at least — could still finish second and gain automatic entry into the 2021/22 Champions League group stage. More realistic, however, is that they could overhaul Monaco, who are just a point above them.

 

Marseille (59, +7) are well set to finish fifth and join the team that ends in fourth in next season's UEFA Europa League, but could still be caught by sixth-placed Lens (56 points, +1). Lens will qualify for the UEFA Europa Conference League if they finish sixth, but they could still be overtaken by Rennes (55 points, +10).

 

LILLE WILL BE CHAMPIONS IF:

- they win at Angers

- they draw at Angers and PSG don't win at Brest

- they lose at Angers and PSG lose at Brest and Monaco don't win at Lens, or Monaco win at Lens but don't make up their goal difference deficit. 

 

N.B. As Lille boast a better head-to-head record against Monaco this season (1W 1D), Monaco must better Lille's goal difference. If they only equal it, Lille's head-to-head record would give them the title.

 

PSG WILL BE CHAMPIONS IF:

- they win at Brest and Lille don't win at Angers

- they draw at Brest, Lille lose at Angers and Monaco don't win at Lens, or Monaco win at Lens but without making up their goal difference deficit (-22).

 

N.B. Monaco won both league games against PSG this season, so if — in theory — they were to equal PSG's goal difference, the principality club's head-to-head record would give them the title.

 

MONACO WILL BE CHAMPIONS IF: 

- Lille lose at Angers, PSG lose at Brest, and Monaco win at Lens and overcome their goal difference deficit on Lille (see above). 

 

LYON FINISH IN THE TOP THREE IF:

- They win at home to Nice and Monaco fail to win at Lens

- They draw against Nice and Monaco lose, moving OL into third place on goal difference.

 

MARSEILLE FINISH FIFTH IF:

- They win or draw at Metz

- Marseille lose, but Lens do not beat Monaco. If they do win, Lens would also have to make up their goal difference deficit (-6)

 

N.B. With a win and draw against OM this season, Lens would finish ahead of Marseille if they are level on goal difference due to their better head-to-head record

 

LENS FINISH AT LEAST SIXTH IF:

- They match or better Rennes' result at home to Nîmes

 

RENNES FINISH SIXTH IF:

- They better Lens' result at home to Monaco

 

>> ROUND 37 REVIEW: Another title race twist

 

>> OPINION: Five L1 stars to look out for this summer

 

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